Mar8

Brazil’s Real Down as Traders Await End of Greek Troubles

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100 and 50 Brazilian real notesThe Brazilian real dropped today as uncertainty about an outcome of the conversation about reduction of Greek debt made traders sell riskier currencies and stick to safer assets.

The tale of Greek debt was dragging for too long and Forex traders are worried that it may end with a disorderly default. There were some positive macroeconomic indicators from Europe, but that wasn’t enough to alleviate fears. All currencies, apart from for safer ones, usually suffer in times of uncertainty and Brazil’s real behaved according to this rule today.

USD/BRL climbed from 1.7165 to 1.7280 as of 16:18 GMT today. The currency pair has reached 1.7179, more than a three-month low, on February 3.

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Mar8

EU Summit dominates the markets

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Starting the week on a relatively firm foothold versus the dollar, the euro faces some key challenges this week including today’s EU Summit (the 17th in two years), as well as ongoing debt restructuring discussions linking Greece and its confidential sector investors. EU leaders will meet later to finalise the details of a monetary pact aimed at reining in budget deficits, as well as giving the closing sign off to a stable bailout fund (ESM) with a lending capacity of EUR500 billion ($ 661 billion). One of the main stumbling blocks ahead of the Summit talks appears to be conflict over a German proposal to have an EU commission review Greece’s budgets, a measure that has been rejected by the Greek Finance Minister. Meanwhile, in stipulations of euro zone data due this week, markets will be looking for any further suggesting that economic activity in the euro zone may possibly be stabilising.

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Jan18

Compass Directions Tuesday, 17 January 2012

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After downgrading nine European nations including France on January 13, Standard and Poor’s announced that it will also cut the rating of the European Financial Stability Facility from AAA to AA+. The news offset a relatively successful French bond auction which saw yields fall on one year notes fall from 0.454% at a January 9 auction to 0.406%. It appears that most investors had already priced in a cut in ratings for France and the reaction of investors in the first trading session after the release of the mass downgrades was rather muted. Germany is now the only eurozone state with a stable AAA rating. The EUR has failed to went much from 18 month lows and opens the Asia morning trading at 1.2660. Click here to read more.. »

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Jan14

Forex Market Outlook 1/3/12

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Buy Buy Buy!  At least that’s how the New Year is starting out, as the markets are decidedly risk-taking mode after the shortened holiday trading sessions.  Global financial markets are set to open higher, led by stocks and commodities.  The fact that markets couldn’t revive higher to end the year may bode well for the start of 2012, but will it take up again right through the year? Click here to read more.. »

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Jan14

FOREX-Euro rebounds from 16-mo low, but gains could fade

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NEW YORK (Frankfurt: A0DKRK - news) , Jan 9 (Reuters) – The euro rallied from a 16-month low against the dollar on Monday as participants pared bearish bets on the single currency ahead of key European events this week, although investors remained overwhelmingly negative due to independent debt concerns.

With euro net small positions at a record according to contemporary data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the currency was susceptible to small-covering.. But gains were contained as German Chancellor Angela Merkel reignited fears of a Greek default. Click here to read more.. »

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